Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.320685 3.884104 4.483602 5.165858 5.917644 6.717740 7.630563
2024-10-27 2.416601 3.171195 4.035723 5.086045 6.314143 7.691780 9.340828
2024-11-03 1.897282 2.771025 3.840945 5.215196 6.901237 8.871473 11.316115
2024-11-10 1.503051 2.436577 3.653802 5.297391 7.399179 9.940139 13.185675
2024-11-17 1.142143 2.069125 3.358686 5.187652 7.620000 10.653682 14.630329
2024-11-24 0.861766 1.753655 3.078317 5.048184 7.765084 11.250358 15.924674
2024-12-01 0.673132 1.535045 2.896935 5.010755 8.020499 11.975113 17.381196
2024-12-08 0.519415 1.336945 2.713347 4.941390 8.211340 12.604706 18.716366
2024-12-15 0.452465 1.278893 2.737911 5.172280 8.821800 13.800995 20.810217
2024-12-22 0.365566 1.159801 2.643801 5.207906 9.145192 14.609274 22.401692
2024-12-29 0.328210 1.135002 2.705562 5.486459 9.827432 15.921504 24.688238
2025-01-05 0.288297 1.094131 2.731786 5.704885 10.423142 17.122971 26.843924
2025-01-12 0.237285 1.014743 2.681454 5.799854 10.846260 18.108272 28.749704
2025-01-19 0.178516 0.893828 2.534505 5.718980 10.993541 18.703600 30.132141
2025-01-26 0.148642 0.843136 2.519600 5.861923 11.490691 19.809756 32.240313
2025-02-02 0.120158 0.784345 2.478597 5.952463 11.903513 20.797975 34.196132
2025-02-09 0.085390 0.683660 2.330156 5.834008 11.970924 21.275686 35.436334
2025-02-16 0.057574 0.587377 2.173061 5.682849 11.972304 21.648311 36.526526
2025-02-23 0.040553 0.522936 2.079275 5.642327 12.150751 22.284922 37.999678
2025-03-02 0.026867 0.458934 1.973428 5.567010 12.263017 22.818634 39.327763
2025-03-09 0.023254 0.455296 2.027692 5.817881 12.941298 24.230238 41.950901
2025-03-16 0.016378 0.417675 1.981222 5.856577 13.250363 25.075624 43.755390
2025-03-23 0.014765 0.422929 2.058654 6.158797 14.028530 26.660792 46.664967